when using bayes theorem, why do you gather more information ?

Answers

Answer 1

When using Bayes' theorem, you gather more information because it allows you to update the prior probability of an event occurring with additional evidence.

Bayes' theorem is used for calculating conditional probability. The theorem gives us a way to revise existing predictions or probability estimates based on new information. Bayes' Theorem is a mathematical formula used to calculate conditional probability. Conditional probability refers to the likelihood of an event happening given that another event has already occurred. Bayes' Theorem is useful when we want to know the probability of an event based on the prior knowledge of conditions that might be related to the event. In Bayes' theorem, the posterior probability is calculated using Bayes' rule, which involves multiplying the prior probability by the likelihood and dividing by the evidence. For example, let's say that you want to calculate the probability of a person having a certain disease given a positive test result. Bayes' theorem would allow you to update the prior probability of having the disease with the new evidence of the test result. The more information you have, the more accurately you can calculate the posterior probability. Therefore, gathering more information is essential when using Bayes' theorem.

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Related Questions

n simple linear regression, r 2 is the _____.
a. coefficient of determination
b. coefficient of correlation
c. estimated regression equation
d. sum of the squared residuals

Answers

The coefficient of determination is often used to evaluate the usefulness of regression models.

In simple linear regression, r2 is the coefficient of determination. In statistics, a measure of the proportion of the variance in one variable that can be explained by another variable is referred to as the coefficient of determination (R2 or r2).

The coefficient of determination, often known as the squared correlation coefficient, is a numerical value that indicates how well one variable can be predicted from another using a linear equation (regression).The coefficient of determination is always between 0 and 1, with a value of 1 indicating that 100% of the variability in one variable is due to the linear relationship between the two variables in question.

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using the factor theorem, which polynomial function has the zeros 4 and 4 – 5i? x3 – 4x2 – 23x 36 x3 – 12x2 73x – 164 x2 – 8x – 5ix 20i 16 x2 – 5ix – 20i – 16

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The polynomial function that has the zeros 4 and 4 - 5i is (x - 4)(x - (4 - 5i))(x - (4 + 5i)).

To find the polynomial function using the factor theorem, we start with the zeros given, which are 4 and 4 - 5i.

The factor theorem states that if a polynomial function has a zero x = a, then (x - a) is a factor of the polynomial.

Since the zeros given are 4 and 4 - 5i, we know that (x - 4) and (x - (4 - 5i)) are factors of the polynomial.

Complex zeros occur in conjugate pairs, so if 4 - 5i is a zero, then its conjugate 4 + 5i is also a zero. Therefore, (x - (4 + 5i)) is also a factor of the polynomial.

Multiplying these factors together, we get the polynomial function: (x - 4)(x - (4 - 5i))(x - (4 + 5i)).

Simplifying the expression, we have: (x - 4)(x - 4 + 5i)(x - 4 - 5i).

Further simplifying, we expand the factors: (x - 4)(x - 4 + 5i)(x - 4 - 5i) = (x - 4)(x^2 - 8x + 16 + 25).

Continuing to simplify, we multiply (x - 4)(x^2 - 8x + 41).

Finally, we expand the remaining factors: x^3 - 8x^2 + 41x - 4x^2 + 32x - 164.

Combining like terms, the polynomial function is x^3 - 12x^2 + 73x - 164.

So, the polynomial function that has the zeros 4 and 4 - 5i is x^3 - 12x^2 + 73x - 164.

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Find the missing value required to create a probability
distribution. Round to the nearest hundredth.
x / P(x)
0 / 0.18
1 / 0.11
2 / 0.13
3 / 4 / 0.12

Answers

The missing value to create a probability distribution is 0.46.

To find the missing value required to create a probability distribution, we need to add the probabilities and subtract from 1.

This is because the sum of all the probabilities in a probability distribution must be equal to 1.

Here is the given probability distribution:x / P(x)0 / 0.181 / 0.112 / 0.133 / 4 / 0.12

Let's add up the probabilities:

0.18 + 0.11 + 0.13 + 0.12 + P(4) = 1

Simplifying, we get:0.54 + P(4) = 1

Subtracting 0.54 from both sides, we get

:P(4) = 1 - 0.54P(4)

= 0.46

Therefore, the missing value to create a probability distribution is 0.46.

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Suppose that X ~ N(-4,1), Y ~ Exp(10), and Z~ Poisson (2) are independent. Compute B[ex-2Y+Z].

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The Value of B[ex-2Y+Z] is e^(-7/2) - 1/5 + 2.

To compute B[ex-2Y+Z], we need to determine the probability distribution of the expression ex-2Y+Z.

Given that X ~ N(-4,1), Y ~ Exp(10), and Z ~ Poisson(2) are independent, we can start by calculating the mean and variance of each random variable:

For X ~ N(-4,1):

Mean (μ) = -4

Variance (σ^2) = 1

For Y ~ Exp(10):

Mean (μ) = 1/λ = 1/10

Variance (σ^2) = 1/λ^2 = 1/10^2 = 1/100

For Z ~ Poisson(2):

Mean (μ) = λ = 2

Variance (σ^2) = λ = 2

Now let's calculate the expression ex-2Y+Z:

B[ex-2Y+Z] = E[ex-2Y+Z]

Since X, Y, and Z are independent, we can calculate the expected value of each term separately:

E[ex] = e^(μ+σ^2/2) = e^(-4+1/2) = e^(-7/2)

E[2Y] = 2E[Y] = 2 * (1/10) = 1/5

E[Z] = λ = 2

Now we can substitute these values into the expression:

B[ex-2Y+Z] = E[ex-2Y+Z] = e^(-7/2) - 1/5 + 2

Therefore, the value of B[ex-2Y+Z] is e^(-7/2) - 1/5 + 2.

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answer all of fhem please
Mr. Potatohead Mr. Potatohead is attempting to cross a river flowing at 10m/s from a point 40m away from a treacherous waterfall. If he starts swimming across at a speed of 1.2m/s and at an angle = 40

Answers

Mr. Potatohead will be carried downstream by 10 × 43.5 = 435 meters approximately.

Given, Velocity of water (vw) = 10 m/s Velocity of Mr. Potatohead (vp) = 1.2 m/s

Distance between Mr. Potatohead and the waterfall (d) = 40 m Angle (θ) = 40

The velocity of Mr. Potatohead with respect to ground can be calculated by using the Pythagorean theorem.

Using this theorem we can find the horizontal and vertical components of the velocity of Mr. Potatohead with respect to ground.

vp = (vpx2 + vpy2)1/2 ......(1)

The horizontal and vertical components of the velocity of Mr. Potatohead with respect to ground are given as,

vpx = vp cos θ

vpy = vp sin θ

On substituting these values in equation (1),

vp = [vp2 cos2θ + vp2 sin2θ]1/2

vp = vp [cos2θ + sin2θ] 1/2

vp = vp

Therefore, the velocity of Mr. Potatohead with respect to the ground is 1.2 m/s.

Since Mr. Potatohead is swimming at an angle of 40°, the horizontal component of his velocity with respect to the ground is,

vpx = vp cos θ

vpx = 1.2 cos 40°

vpx = 0.92 m/s

As per the question, Mr. Potatohead is attempting to cross a river flowing at 10 m/s from a point 40 m away from a treacherous waterfall.

To find how far Mr. Potatohead is carried downstream, we can use the equation, d = vw t,

Where, d = distance carried downstream vw = velocity of water = 10 m/sand t is the time taken by Mr. Potatohead to cross the river.

The time taken by Mr. Potatohead to cross the river can be calculated as, t = d / vpx

Substituting the values of d and vpx in the above equation,

we get t = 40 / 0.92t

≈ 43.5 seconds

Therefore, Mr. Potatohead will be carried downstream by 10 × 43.5 = 435 meters approximately.

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