A day trading firm closely monitors and evaluates the performance of its traders. For each $10,000 invested, the daily returns of traders at this company can be modeled by a Normal distribution with mean = $830 and standard deviation = $1,781.
(a) What is the probability of obtaining a negative daily return, on any given day? (Use 3 decimals.)
(b) Assuming the returns on successive days are independent of each other, what is the probability of having a negative daily return for two days in a row? (Use 3 decimals.)
(c) Give the boundaries of the interval containing the middle 80% of daily returns: (use 3 decimals) ( , )
(d) As part of its incentive program, any trader who obtains a daily return in the top 2% of historical returns receives a special bonus. What daily return is needed to get this bonus? (Use 3 decimals.)

Answers

Answer 1

Answer:

a) 0.321 = 32.1% probability of obtaining a negative daily return, on any given day.

b) 0.103 = 10.3% probability of having a negative daily return for two days in a row.

c) (-$1449.68, $3109.68)

d) A bonus of $4,488.174 is needed.

Step-by-step explanation:

Normal Probability Distribution

Problems of normal distributions can be solved using the z-score formula.

In a set with mean [tex]\mu[/tex] and standard deviation [tex]\sigma[/tex], the z-score of a measure X is given by:

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

The Z-score measures how many standard deviations the measure is from the mean. After finding the Z-score, we look at the z-score table and find the p-value associated with this z-score. This p-value is the probability that the value of the measure is smaller than X, that is, the percentile of X. Subtracting 1 by the p-value, we get the probability that the value of the measure is greater than X.

Normal distribution with mean = $830 and standard deviation = $1,781.

This means that [tex]\mu = 830, \sigma = 1781[/tex]

(a) What is the probability of obtaining a negative daily return, on any given day?

This is the p-value of Z when X = 0, so:

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

[tex]Z = \frac{0 - 830}{1781}[/tex]

[tex]Z = -0.466[/tex]

[tex]Z = -0.466[/tex] has a p-value 0.321.

0.321 = 32.1% probability of obtaining a negative daily return, on any given day.

(b) Assuming the returns on successive days are independent of each other, what is the probability of having a negative daily return for two days in a row?

Each day, 0.3206 probability, so:

[tex](0.321)^2 = 0.103[/tex]

0.103 = 10.3% probability of having a negative daily return for two days in a row.

(c) Give the boundaries of the interval containing the middle 80% of daily returns

Between the 50 - (80/2) = 10th percentile and the 50 + (80/2) = 90th percentile.

10th percentile:

X when Z has a p-value of 0.1, so X when Z = -1.28.

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

[tex]-1.28 = \frac{X - 830}{1781}[/tex]

[tex]X - 830 = -1.28*1781[/tex]

[tex]X = -1449.68[/tex]

90th percentile:

X when Z has a p-value of 0.9, so X when Z = 1.28.

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

[tex]1.28 = \frac{X - 830}{1781}[/tex]

[tex]X - 830 = 1.28*1781[/tex]

[tex]X = 3109.68[/tex]

So

(-$1449.68, $3109.68)

d) As part of its incentive program, any trader who obtains a daily return in the top 2% of historical returns receives a special bonus. What daily return is needed to get this bonus?

The 100 - 2 = 98th percentile, which is X when Z has a p-value of 0.98, so X when Z = 2.054.

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

[tex]2.054 = \frac{X - 830}{1781}[/tex]

[tex]X - 830 = 2.054*1781[/tex]

[tex]X = 4488.174 [/tex]

A bonus of $4,488.174 is needed.


Related Questions

A Food Marketing Institute found that 34% of households spend more than $125 a week on groceries. Assume the population proportion is 0.34 and a simple random sample of 124 households is selected from the population. What is the probability that the sample proportion of households spending more than $125 a week is less than 0.31

Answers

Answer:

0.2405 = 24.05% probability that the sample proportion of households spending more than $125 a week is less than 0.31.

Step-by-step explanation:

To solve this question, we need to understand the normal probability distribution and the central limit theorem.

Normal Probability Distribution

Problems of normal distributions can be solved using the z-score formula.

In a set with mean [tex]\mu[/tex] and standard deviation [tex]\sigma[/tex], the z-score of a measure X is given by:

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

The Z-score measures how many standard deviations the measure is from the mean. After finding the Z-score, we look at the z-score table and find the p-value associated with this z-score. This p-value is the probability that the value of the measure is smaller than X, that is, the percentile of X. Subtracting 1 by the p-value, we get the probability that the value of the measure is greater than X.

Central Limit Theorem

The Central Limit Theorem establishes that, for a normally distributed random variable X, with mean [tex]\mu[/tex] and standard deviation [tex]\sigma[/tex], the sampling distribution of the sample means with size n can be approximated to a normal distribution with mean [tex]\mu[/tex] and standard deviation [tex]s = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}[/tex].

For a skewed variable, the Central Limit Theorem can also be applied, as long as n is at least 30.

For a proportion p in a sample of size n, the sampling distribution of the sample proportion will be approximately normal with mean [tex]\mu = p[/tex] and standard deviation [tex]s = \sqrt{\frac{p(1-p)}{n}}[/tex]

Assume the population proportion is 0.34 and a simple random sample of 124 households is selected from the population.

This means that [tex]p = 0.34, n = 124[/tex]

Mean and standard deviation:

[tex]\mu = p = 0.34[/tex]

[tex]s = \sqrt{\frac{0.34*0.66}{124}} = 0.0425[/tex]

What is the probability that the sample proportion of households spending more than $125 a week is less than 0.31?

This is the p-value of Z when X = 0.31, so:

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

[tex]Z = \frac{0.31 - 0.34}{0.0425}[/tex]

[tex]Z = -0.705[/tex]

[tex]Z = -0.705[/tex] has a p-value of 0.2405.

0.2405 = 24.05% probability that the sample proportion of households spending more than $125 a week is less than 0.31.

4 people take 3 hours to paint a fence assume that all people paint at the same rate How long would it take one of these people to paint the same fence?​

Answers

Answer:

12

Step-by-step explanation:

A graph of 2 functions is shown below. graph of function f of x equals negative 11 by 3 multiplied by x plus 11 by 3 and graph of function g of x equals x cubed plus 2 multiplied by x squared minus x minus 2 Which of the following is a solution for f(x) = g(x)? (2 points) x = −2 x = 1 x = 0 x = −1

Answers

9514 1404 393

Answer:

  (b)  x = 1

Step-by-step explanation:

A graph shows the solution to f(x) = g(x) is x = 1.

__

We want to solve ...

  g(x) -f(x) = 0

  x^3 +2x^2 -x -2 -(-11/3x +11/3) = 0

  x^2(x +2) -1(x +2) +11/3(x -1) = 0 . . . . . factor first terms by grouping

  (x^2 -1)(x +2) +11/3(x -1) = 0 . . . . .  . the difference of squares can be factored

  (x -1)(x +1)(x +2) +(x -1)(11/3) = 0 . . . . we see (x-1) is a common factor

  (x -1)(x^2 +3x +2 +11/3) = 0

The zero product rule tells us this will be true when x-1 = 0, or x = 1.

__

The discriminant of the quadratic factor is ...

  b^2 -4ac = 3^2 -4(1)(17/3) = 9 -68/3 = -41/3

This is less than zero, so any other solutions are complex.

A box contains 16 large marbles and 18 small marbles. Each marble is either green or white. 9 of the large marbles are green, and 3 of the small marbles are white. If a marble is randomly selected from the box, what is the probability that it is small or green

Answers

Answer:

[tex]P(S&G) =0.7941[/tex]

Step-by-step explanation:

From the question we are told that:

Sample size [tex]n=16+18=>34[/tex]

N0 of  Large [tex]L=16[/tex]

N0 of Small [tex]S=18[/tex]

N0 large Green [tex]L_g=9[/tex]

N0 of small White [tex]S_w=3[/tex]

Therefore

Number of green marbles [tex]N0(G)=9+(18-3)[/tex]

Number of green marbles [tex]N0(G)=24[/tex]

Generally the Number of both small and green Marble is

[tex]N0 of (S&G)= 18 - 3 = 15[/tex]

Generally the  probability that it is small or green P(S&G) is mathematically given by

[tex]P(S&G) = \frac{(18 + 24 - 15)}{(18 + 16)}[/tex]

[tex]P(S&G) =0.7941[/tex]

Zoe has 4 pounds of strawberries to make pies. How many ounces of strawberries Is this?
64 oz.
60 oz.
68 oz.
72 oz.

Answers

Answer: 64 ounces (choice A)

Work Shown:

1 pound = 16 ounces

4*(1 pound) = 4*(16 ounces)

4 pounds = 64 ounces

1. What is the theoretical probability that the family has two dogs or two cats?
2.
Describe how to use two coins to simulate which two pets the family has.
3. Flip both coins 50 times and record your data in a table
like the one below.
Frequency
Result
Heads, Heads
Heads, Tails
Tails. Heads
Tails. Tails
Total
50
4
Based on your data, what is the experimental probability that the family has two dogs or
two cats?
5
If the family has three pets, what is the theoretical probability that they have three dogs or
three cats?
How could you change the simulation to generate data for three pets
6

Answers

let dogs be heads. Let cats be tails. A coin has two sides, in which you are flipping two of them. Note that there can be the possible outcomes  

h-h, h-t, t-h, t-t.  

How this affects the possibility of two dogs & two cats. Note that there are 1/2 a chance of getting those two (with the others being one of each), which means that out of 4 chances, 2 are allowed.  

2/4 = 1/2  

50% is your answer

Heads represents cats and tails represents dogs. There is two coins because we are checking the probability of two pets. You have to do the experiment to get your set of data, once you get your set of data, you will be able to divide it into the probability for cats or dogs. To change the simulation to generate data for 3 pets, simply add a new coin and category for the new pet.

Hope this helps you out!

Calculate the product below and give your answer in scientific notation.
(3.3 x 10-4) (8.0 x 109) = ?
Show Calculator

Answers

Answer:

25288

Step-by-step explanation:

shown in the picture

22
20
14
22
29
20
Mean
Mode
Medium
Range

Answers

Mean: To find the mean, we need to add up all of our numbers and divide by the amount added. Adding 22, 20, 14, 22, 29, 20 gives us 127. Then, we divide by 6. This gives us 21.166… or 21.13 rounded.
Mode: The mode is the number that appears the most often. Our numbers are 22, 20, 14, 22, 29, and 20. 22 appears 2 times, 20 appears 2 times, 14 appears 1 time, and 28 appears 1 time. Therefore, the mode is 22 and 20.
Medium/median: I am assuming you meant median, the median is the middle number when the list is sorted from least to greatest. This means our list is 14, 20, 20, 22, 22, 29. We can find the median by crossing out the outer numbers and so on until we reach the middle. 14 and 29 are crossed out. 20 and 22 are crossed out. This gives us 22 as the median.
Range: The range is the difference between the greatest and the least number in our list. The greatest number in our list is 29. The number of the least value is 14. 29-14 is 15. 15 is our range.

Answer:

mean=21.17

mode=20,22

median=3.5

range=15

Step-by-step explanation: MEAN=sum of all observations/ no. of observations

mean=22+20+14+22+29+20/6

mean=127/6

mean=21.17

MODE= most frequent observations

mode=22,20

MEDIAN=1/2(n/2+n+2/2)

=1/2(6/2+6+2/2)

=1/2(3+4)

=1/2(7)

=7/2

=3.5

RANGE=X max -X min

=29-14

=15

PLEASE HELPPPPPPP #1

Answers

Answer:

is the second answer 2x+1/x-1


The population, P(t), in millions, of a country, in year t, is given by the formula P(t) = 24 + 0.4t. What are the values of the population for t = 10, 20,
and 30?

Answers

Answer:

B. 28, 32, 36 millions

Step-by-step explanation:

Given:

P(t) = 24 + 0.4t

Where,

P(t) = population in millions

t = number of years

✔️Value of the population when t = 10:

Plug in t = 10 into P(t) = 24 + 0.4t

P(t) = 24 + 0.4(10)

P(t) = 24 + 4

P(t) = 28 million

✔️Value of the population when t = 20:

Plug in t = 20 into P(t) = 24 + 0.4t

P(t) = 24 + 0.4(20)

P(t) = 24 + 8

P(t) = 32 million

✔️Value of the population when t = 30:

Plug in t = 30 into P(t) = 24 + 0.4t

P(t) = 24 + 0.4(30)

P(t) = 24 + 12

P(t) = 36 million

calculate the resistance if V = 220V and I = 3.6amp​

Answers

Step-by-step explanation:

V= IR --> R = V/I = (220 V)/(3.6 A) = 61.1 ohms

Answer:

61.11 ohms

Step-by-step explanation:

R=V/I

R=220/3.6

R=61.11 ohms

AABC-AXYZ. What's the scale factor from
AABC to AXYZ?

Answers

9514 1404 393

Answer:

  (d)  1/4

Step-by-step explanation:

The scale factor is the ratio of lengths of corresponding sides:

  XZ/AC = 3/12 = 1/4

_____

Additional comment

I find the wording of the question a bit ambiguous. To transform ΔABC to ΔXYZ, every linear dimension of ΔABC is multiplied by 1/4. This is the sense of "ΔABC to ΔXYZ" that is used in the above answer.

On the other hand, one of the ways ratios are written is using the word "to," as in "12 to 3". Using this idea, we might interpret the question to be asking for ...

  ΔABC to ΔXYZ = AC to XZ = 12 to 3 = 12/3 = 4

I need help ASAP please no links

Answers

Answer: D' = (1, -1)

Step-by-step explanation:

When dilating by a 1/2 you take a point and divide the x and y of the point in half. So D before is (2,-2) and then divide that by a 1/2, which gives us our answer (1, -1).

PLS
Write the equation of the piecewise function that is represented by its graph.

IS IT A, B, C, OR D

Answers

9514 1404 393

Answer:

  a) domain bounds are -1 ≤ x ≤ 1, x > 1

Step-by-step explanation:

In considering the definition of any piecewise function, the domain descriptions in the function definition must match the pieces shown in the graph.

Here, the right segment has no upper bound, so x > 1 is an appropriate description of its domain.

The left segment has the points at x=-1 and x=1 included, so the appropriate domain description for that is -1 ≤ x ≤ 1.

The one answer choice that combines these domain descriptions is ...

  [tex]\displaystyle f(x)=\begin{cases}x^2,&\text{if }-\!1\le x\le1\\\sqrt{x},&\text{if }x>1\end{cases}[/tex]

Reasoning by induction

Question 1 options:

1)

develops a general conclusion based on observations of cases.


2)

develops a general conclusion based on given information.


3)

starts with assumptions that are known to be valid to draw another new truths.


4)

uses patterns to create logical proofs.

Answers

Answer:

1because the occasion of cases

A consistent system of equations is a system with __________.



Select one:

a. the same line

b. parallel lines

c. intersecting lines and lines that have the same slope

d. intersecting lines and lines that have the same equation

Answers

the answer is d. my shlime

The answer is D: intersecting lines and lines that have the same equation

Based on this example, make a
generalization about the acute angles
formed when two parallel lines are
cut by a transversal.

Answers

Answer:

Step-by-step explanation:

There are 4 of them (acute angles that is)Those 4 are less than 90 degrees.They have supplementary angles which are greater than 90 degrees.There are 4 of them also.The total number of angles should be 8 if there are 2 parallel lines and 1 transversal.

Please helppppppppp!!!!

Answers

Terminal point for 4π/3

(cos4π/3 ,sin4π/3)

{cos(π+π/3) ,sin(π+π/3)}= (-cosπ/3 ,-sinπ/3)

or ,(- 1/2, -√3/2)

OPTION C

A political party wishes to estimate the proportion of voters that support the party in a particular state. The party will poll a random sample of n voters from the state. Which of the following is likely to result in the largest margin of error?

a. n = 500, confidence level 95%
b. n = 500, confidence level = 99%
c. n = 500, confidence level = 90%
d. n= 300, confidence level 95%
e. n = 300, confidence level = 90%

Answers

Answer:

Option D

Step-by-step explanation:

Generally the equation for Margin of Error is mathematically given by

[tex]M.E=Z*sqrt{\frac{p*(1-p)}{n}}[/tex]

Condition for Largest M.E

n has to be smallest and Z value has to be largest.

Where

From options

Smallest [tex]n=300[/tex]

Largest Z value respects to [tex]\alpha=95\%[/tex]

Therefore

n= 300, confidence level 95%

Option D

Last year Diana sold 800 necklaces. This year she sold 1080 necklaces. what is the percentage increase of necklaces she sold?

Answers

Answer:

13.5% is the increase in percentage

Answer:

74%

Step-by-step explanation:

To get the answer, divide 800 by 1080, and you will get a decimal. That decimal is 0.74074074074. Then, move the decimal point two times two the right, so you should have 074.074074074. Ignore everything after the decimal point as well as the 0 before the decimal point, and if done correctly, it should be 74%.

So, the final answer would be 74%.

Hope this helped!

The product of two numbers is 50 and there sum is 15. Find the number.

Answers

Answer: the numbers are 10 and 5

Step-by-step explanation:

10 times 5 is 50

10 plus 5 is 15

The two numbers are 10 and 5 because 10 times 5 is 50.and 10 plus 5 is 15

Please help asap please

Answers

Answer:

12.9 miles

Step-by-step explanation:

Formula: (x/360)×dπ(circumference)

90/360=1/4

1/4×16.4π

1/4×51.496

12.874

Answer:

[tex]m JM=90 =\Theta[/tex]

[tex]Radius=dimeter/2=16.4/2[/tex]

[tex]\longrightarrowr=8.2[/tex]

The length of arc JM=

[tex]=\frac{\Theta }{360} \times\pi r[/tex]

[tex]=\frac{90}{360} \times2\times\ 3.14\times 8.2[/tex]

[tex]=12.874[/tex]

[tex]\approx 12.9 \; miles[/tex]

[tex]OAmalOHopeO[/tex]

construct an angle that bisect 90°​

Answers

Answer:

We can construct a 90º angle either by bisecting a straight angle or using the following steps.

Step 1: Draw the arm PA.

Step 2: Place the point of the compass at P and draw an arc that cuts the arm at Q.

Step 3: Place the point of the compass at Q and draw an arc of radius PQ that cuts the arc drawn in Step 2 at R.

Step-by-step explanation:

Describe the system of equations
How many solutions does this system have.

Answers

Answer:

Step-by-step explanation:

One solution, at the point of intersection, (3,3)

Define percent in terms of ratios

Answers

Percent is a ratio where we compare numbers to 100 which means that 1% is 1 divide by 100

One of the problems encountered by corporations in America is finding an adequate number of employees who want to move into management. Recent surveys of workers in America taken by the Department of Labor in Washington D. C. revealed that only 20% of employees would like to move into management and be the boss. Suppose that a random sample of 75 U.S. workers was taken and each person was asked whether or not they would like to move into management. Find the probability that at least 18 of the 75 sampled employees would like to move into management.

Answers

Answer:

0.2358 = 23.58% probability that at least 18 of the 75 sampled employees would like to move into management.

Step-by-step explanation:

Binomial probability distribution

Probability of exactly x successes on n repeated trials, with p probability.

Can be approximated to a normal distribution, using the expected value and the standard deviation.

The expected value of the binomial distribution is:

[tex]E(X) = np[/tex]

The standard deviation of the binomial distribution is:

[tex]\sqrt{V(X)} = \sqrt{np(1-p)}[/tex]

Normal probability distribution

Problems of normally distributed distributions can be solved using the z-score formula.

In a set with mean [tex]\mu[/tex] and standard deviation [tex]\sigma[/tex], the zscore of a measure X is given by:

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

The Z-score measures how many standard deviations the measure is from the mean. After finding the Z-score, we look at the z-score table and find the p-value associated with this z-score. This p-value is the probability that the value of the measure is smaller than X, that is, the percentile of X. Subtracting 1 by the pvalue, we get the probability that the value of the measure is greater than X.

When we are approximating a binomial distribution to a normal one, we have that [tex]\mu = E(X)[/tex], [tex]\sigma = \sqrt{V(X)}[/tex].

20% of employees would like to move into management and be the boss.

This means that [tex]p  = 0.2[/tex]

Sample of 75:

This means that [tex]n = 75[/tex]

Mean and standard deviation:

[tex]\mu = E(X) = np = 75(0.2) = 15[/tex]

[tex]\sigma = \sqrt{V(X)} = \sqrt{np(1-p)} = \sqrt{75*0.2*0.8} = 3.4641[/tex]

Find the probability that at least 18 of the 75 sampled employees would like to move into management.

Using continuity correction, this is [tex]P(X \geq 18 - 0.5) = P(X \geq 17.5)[/tex], which is 1 subtracted by the p-value of X = 17.5. So

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

[tex]Z = \frac{17.5 - 15}{3.4641}[/tex]

[tex]Z = 0.72[/tex]

[tex]Z = 0.72[/tex] has a p-value of 0.7642.

1 - 0.7642 = 0.2358

0.2358 = 23.58% probability that at least 18 of the 75 sampled employees would like to move into management.

Pls help with this question. No links.

Answers

Answer:

i hope it's helpful for you

Determine the probability of landing on tails at most 33 times if you flip a fair coin 80 times. Round your answer to the nearest tenth.

Answers

Answer:

0.0728177272

Step-by-step explanation:

Given :

Number of flips = 80

Probability of landing on tail at most 33 times ;

Probability of landing on tail on any given flip = 1 / 2 = 0.5

This a binomial probability problem:

Hence ;

P(x ≤ 33) = p(x=0) + p(x=1) +... + p(x = 33)

Using a binomial probability calculator :

P(x ≤ 33) = 0.0728177272

Consider the phrase "the sum of 3 times a number and the quotient of the number and 4." Let’s break it down. You want the sum of two values. The first value is 3 times a number. What expression represents 3 times a number?

Answers

9514 1404 393

Answer:

  3x

Step-by-step explanation:

If x represents the number, then "3 times a number" is 3x.

__

Additional comment

"The quotient of the number and 4" is x/4.

The sum of those two expressions is ...

  3x + x/4

Simplify
x * x^5 / x^2 * x

Answers

it’s x^3, i guess hope this helps
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